Aarau II vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
4 - 2
AAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 1
SAR
48%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
GOL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 1
EMM
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |