Aalen II vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
AAL
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 0
AAL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AAL
1 - 2
STU
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 0
AAL
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AAL
0 - 0
KEH
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ULM
7 - 0
KPF
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 1
ULM
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ULM
0 - 1
SPI
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PFU
1 - 5
ULM
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ULM
0 - 3
RAV
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |