Aalen II vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
KSC
3 - 3
AAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
REU
3 - 0
AAL
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AAL
1 - 0
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
4 - 1
AAL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 1
BAH
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 1
KPF
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 2
SPI
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
PFU
0 - 3
HOL
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GFR
0 - 1
HOL
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |