Guarany SE vs Lagartense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
3 - 1
LAG
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
RFC
3 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lagartense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
LAG
1 - 3
OSE
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
3 - 1
LAG
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
28%
25%
46%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LAG
0 - 0
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |