Portuguesa vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 3
POR
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
MIR
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |