Portuguesa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
POR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 4
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |