Portuguesa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
ATM
1 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1992 |
POR
1 - 1
VAS
40%
31%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
POR
1 - 3
BOT
42%
30%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1992 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
NAU
0 - 4
ATM
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |