Portuguesa vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
4 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
4 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MOG
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 2
VEL
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 1
MOG
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |