Cup Paulista Primera Ronda. Jor. 4

Portuguesa vs CA Juventus analysis

Portuguesa CA Juventus
53 ELO 49
-12.3% Tilt -15.2%
2216º General ELO ranking 3179º
70º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Portuguesa
24.8%
Draw
21.4%
CA Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Portuguesa
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
CA Juventus
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portuguesa
+2%
+13%
CA Juventus

ELO progression

Portuguesa
CA Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2018
ATI
Atibaia
1 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
43%
27%
30%
52 53 1 0
08 Aug. 2018
TAB
Taboão da Serra
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
33%
26%
41%
52 45 7 0
05 Aug. 2018
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
27%
25%
48%
51 58 7 +1
14 Jul. 2018
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
12%
18%
70%
51 72 21 0
24 Mar. 2018
SER
Sertãozinho
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
56%
24%
20%
51 56 5 0

Matches

CA Juventus
CA Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2018
AUD
Audax São Paulo
1 - 1
CA Juventus
JUV
48%
25%
27%
48 49 1 0
05 Aug. 2018
JUV
CA Juventus
0 - 1
Atibaia
ATI
30%
26%
43%
49 53 4 -1
24 Mar. 2018
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 2
Oeste
OES
16%
23%
60%
49 64 15 0
22 Mar. 2018
PEN
Penapolense
0 - 1
CA Juventus
JUV
57%
23%
20%
48 53 5 +1
18 Mar. 2018
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
51%
25%
24%
48 50 2 0
X