Portuguesa vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |