A Lama SD vs Bamio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Lama SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOA
0 - 0
ALA
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
MOR
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
ALA
49%
24%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
CUN
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COB
0 - 3
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bamio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BAM
0 - 2
CRU
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CER
4 - 8
BAM
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAM
0 - 2
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
4 - 1
BAM
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BAM
1 - 2
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |