Aşgabat vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EFT
1 - 0
AGA
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AGA
4 - 3
KAS
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AGA
0 - 2
AGA
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AHA
4 - 0
AGA
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BFT
1 - 2
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KAS
4 - 1
BFT
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BFT
2 - 4
AGA
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AHA
5 - 1
BFT
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
4 - 1
BFT
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |