Aşgabat vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MER
3 - 1
AGA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 3
KAS
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
AGA
2 - 4
AHA
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
AHA
5 - 0
AGA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 1
EFT
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
KAS
0 - 0
BFT
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 4
AGA
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
BFT
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
ALT
7 - 0
BFT
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |