Aşgabat vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
MER
5 - 2
AGA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
AGA
0 - 0
HTT
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
7 - 0
AGA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 1
TAL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 2
AGA
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 0
TAL
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AHA
0 - 2
AGA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 1
BAG
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 1
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |