S. Bartolome vs UD Punta del Caiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
5 - 0
SBA
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SBA
1 - 2
MAT
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LOS
4 - 3
SBA
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SBA
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 0
SBA
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UD Punta del Caiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDP
4 - 1
UDD
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
REC
2 - 1
UDP
35%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UDP
6 - 1
ROC
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 2
UDP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UDP
2 - 2
ATL
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |