VfL Benrath vs TSV Essen-West 81 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 4
NIE
30%
22%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
4 - 1
WUL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 1
SFB
9%
14%
76%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VFL
2 - 1
SSV
43%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
TSV Essen-West 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SFB
1 - 2
TEW
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TEW
2 - 2
FCR
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SSV
2 - 1
TEW
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TEW
1 - 3
SSN
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TEW
0 - 1
DUS
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |