VfL Benrath vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
5 - 0
VFL
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TSR
0 - 3
VFL
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VFL
4 - 2
SFN
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +4 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAT
5 - 1
VFL
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 2
VFL
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
SFB
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCR
1 - 0
CRO
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
SSV
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SSN
1 - 4
CRO
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |