Tolentino vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
SEL
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
CAM
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +5 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
UST
2 - 0
OLY
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
CYN
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
UST
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
RIE
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
RIE
37%
22%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 4
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
RIE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |