Tolentino vs Casoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SRM
1 - 0
UST
34%
27%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UST
1 - 1
SDC
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RCA
1 - 0
UST
51%
24%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UST
2 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UST
2 - 0
CAM
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Casoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
CSL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 3
FAN
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
OLY
1 - 2
CSL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 1
EPD
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |