Tolentino vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 3
UST
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
UST
1 - 1
ASF
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UST
2 - 1
JES
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 0
UST
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UST
1 - 1
SFF
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JES
0 - 1
AVE
37%
26%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 1
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VAS
2 - 0
AVE
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 2
AVE
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |