Søften vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
THI
3 - 1
VEJ
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NAS
2 - 0
THI
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
THI
1 - 1
SKI
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
THI
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
THI
1 - 0
DAL
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |