Mareeba United vs FNQ Heat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mareeba United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MAU
8 - 2
INN
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BRI
3 - 0
MAU
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 71 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WES
1 - 1
FNQ
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FNQ
1 - 0
OLY
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FNQ
2 - 3
MOR
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BRR
1 - 1
FNQ
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FNQ
2 - 1
BRI
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |