Kempten vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kempten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
KEM
0 - 2
GRE
26%
26%
47%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ANS
3 - 2
KEM
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
KEM
1 - 0
TSV
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
4 - 2
KEM
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
KEM
2 - 3
HEI
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
ANS
73%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
TSV
1 - 2
BAY
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 0
BAY
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
TSG
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |