GSD Arrone vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSD Arrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
GSA
52%
26%
23%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GSA
1 - 0
ORV
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 3
GSA
20%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
APC
0 - 1
GSA
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GSA
4 - 3
RIE
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACS
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
4 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 3
ASL
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |