Stern Marienfelde vs Berliner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
85.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern Marienfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 3
FSV
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FRO
8 - 1
FSM
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FSM
1 - 3
PRE
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
FSM
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
FSM
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Berliner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 3
SVS
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TAS
4 - 1
BSC
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 3
HER
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIC
13%
15%
72%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BSC
3 - 2
FSV
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |