Esens vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
72.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
0 - 0
ESE
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ESE
0 - 3
GAR
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TDI
3 - 1
ESE
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 1
ESE
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ESE
1 - 10
GWM
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
BWP
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BWP
0 - 2
GAR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BWP
1 - 1
SVB
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OYT
2 - 6
BWP
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BWP
1 - 1
TDI
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |