ASFID Vila-real vs Drac Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFID Vila-real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
AND
2 - 5
ASF
28%
19%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ASF
6 - 0
LLO
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
VDO
1 - 6
ASF
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 2
ASF
71%
15%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ASF
5 - 1
AND
34%
20%
46%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Drac Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
DRA
7 - 0
AND
43%
21%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LLO
2 - 1
DRA
40%
20%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DRA
2 - 3
VDO
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JAL
3 - 4
DRA
31%
20%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FAU
3 - 1
DRA
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |