Aster Brasil Sub 20 vs Palmeiras Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
80.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aster Brasil Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
1 - 0
OFC
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
1 - 1
SPO
5%
14%
81%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
4 - 0
CRU
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
ABR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SPO
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 4
PAL
4%
13%
82%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 4
PAL
7%
13%
81%
|
52 | 5 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
7 - 0
QUE
83%
12%
6%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |