Serie D Relegation playoffs Final
AC Somma vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Somma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
ACS
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 0
VIR
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACS
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
UNI
27%
26%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |