9 de Octubre vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
52
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
OCT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 2
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
OCT
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAN
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |