9 de Julio Rafaela vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2009 |
DES
0 - 0
9DJ
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
9DJ
2 - 0
CIP
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 0
9DJ
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
9DJ
3 - 1
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
9DJ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CIP
0 - 0
PAT
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
9DJ
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |