9 de Julio Morteros vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 1
9DJ
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GPJ
0 - 1
9DJ
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
9DJ
2 - 1
ARG
70%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
9DJ
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
9DJ
2 - 0
ALP
63%
19%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
ATL
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
ALP
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GPJ
0 - 1
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
RAC
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |