7 de Abril vs Nova Cidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 4
SFC
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
0 - 3
PAD
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
CIG
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
1 - 0
NCI
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 2
PAD
18%
19%
62%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
5 - 0
ANG
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
1 - 0
NCI
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |