Carioca B2 Final Stages Semi-finals
7 de Abril vs Carapebus EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
3 - 1
MAG
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 3
CIG
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
BAR
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CIG
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
2 - 1
PFC
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 0
CEC
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 3
TIG
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 1
CEC
39%
23%
39%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 1
ADC
43%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
CEC
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |