4 de Julho vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 2
RIV
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
4DE
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 4
4DE
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
PIA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
ALT
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIC
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIC
65%
22%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 2
PIC
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |