4 de Julho vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 0
4DE
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
2 - 3
CAC
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
3 - 0
FPI
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
4DE
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
ASA
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REM
3 - 1
ALT
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
OPE
15%
26%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 0
ALT
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |