4 de Julho vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
4DE
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 3
4DE
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 0
BAH
10%
17%
74%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 0
CRB
10%
15%
75%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
FOR
11%
17%
73%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALT
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |