1860 München II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
EIN
1 - 0
186
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
186
2 - 2
SSV
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WAC
4 - 2
186
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
186
3 - 1
DAR
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
ELV
1 - 0
186
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
ERF
1 - 1
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
CZJ
0 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
ERF
2 - 1
WEH
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
ERF
0 - 2
ULM
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
VFR
2 - 1
ERF
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |