15 de Agosto de Santiago vs 1 de Marzo de Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1 de Marzo de Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CMP
1 - 4
TAC
4%
10%
87%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CMP
0 - 0
NAC
3%
8%
90%
|
8 | 76 | 68 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
CMP
1 - 2
ATY
5%
11%
85%
|
8 | 63 | 55 | 0 |