14 de Julho vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 4
ECJ
76%
14%
11%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ECJ
3 - 0
SAO
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
PEL
5 - 1
ECJ
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
FAR
1 - 2
GEB
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FAR
3 - 1
SLU
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 3
FAR
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |