Oberliga Niederrhein Round 5

1.FC Monheim vs Kray analysis

1.FC Monheim Kray
33 ELO 20
-9.4% Tilt 4%
5067º General ELO ranking 20317º
245º Country ELO ranking 721º
ELO win probability
73.2%
1.FC Monheim
16.4%
Draw
10.5%
Kray

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
1.FC Monheim
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
Kray
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

1.FC Monheim
Their league position
Kray
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
17º
17º
25
16º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
94
94
100%
Hilden
79
79
100%
TVD Velbert
78
78
100%
Germania Ratingen
74
74
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
73
73
100%
KFC Uerdingen 05
72
72
100%
Schonnebeck
61
61
100%
Meerbusch
59
59
100%
SF Baumberg
58
58
100%
Sonsbeck
10º
56
56
10º
100%
Hamborn
11º
56
56
11º
100%
SC St. Tönis
12º
55
55
12º
100%
Homberg
13º
52
52
13º
0%
Kleve
15º
52
52
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
14º
52
52
15º
0%
MSV Düsseldorf
16º
50
50
16º
100%
1.FC Monheim
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Cronenberger
18º
29
29
18º
0%
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
19º
29
29
19º
0%
Kray
20º
25
25
20º
100%
FSV Duisburg
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
1.FC Monheim
Kray
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

1.FC Monheim
Kray
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1.FC Monheim
1.FC Monheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
KLE
Kleve
1 - 2
1.FC Monheim
1FC
36%
24%
40%
32 30 2 0
10 Aug. 2022
1FC
1.FC Monheim
3 - 1
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
DUS
50%
23%
27%
31 29 2 +1
07 Aug. 2022
HIL
Hilden
1 - 1
1.FC Monheim
1FC
71%
16%
12%
30 41 11 +1
20 Jul. 2022
WEG
Wegberg-Beeck
8 - 1
1.FC Monheim
1FC
46%
25%
29%
31 33 2 -1
29 Jun. 2022
1FC
1.FC Monheim
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
3%
11%
86%
31 79 48 0

Matches

Kray
Kray
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2022
KRA
Kray
0 - 3
Kleve
KLE
25%
21%
54%
21 29 8 0
14 Aug. 2022
DUS
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
1 - 1
Kray
KRA
63%
20%
17%
21 28 7 0
10 Aug. 2022
KRA
Kray
1 - 3
Hilden
HIL
10%
15%
75%
22 41 19 -1
07 Aug. 2022
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
2 - 0
Kray
KRA
69%
17%
14%
22 29 7 0
12 Jun. 2022
KRA
Kray
5 - 1
Cronenberger
CRO
33%
21%
46%
21 24 3 +1