VfB Merseburg vs International Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 0
FSM
36%
21%
44%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VFL
2 - 0
FCM
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OBE
4 - 2
FCM
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 0
PLA
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCM
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
International Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
ILE
2 - 2
VFL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WAC
2 - 4
ILE
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ILE
0 - 1
EIN
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ILE
1 - 2
PLA
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -4 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 0
ILE
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |