Bundesliga Round 18

Köln vs Wolfsburg analysis

Köln Wolfsburg
74 ELO 85
5.4% Tilt 21.9%
97º General ELO ranking 47º
16º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
26.2%
Köln
24.1%
Draw
49.7%
Wolfsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
Köln
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.7%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
+5%
-4%
Wolfsburg

ELO progression

Köln
Wolfsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2008
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
54%
22%
24%
74 78 4 0
07 Dec. 2008
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
27%
26%
46%
74 87 13 0
28 Nov. 2008
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 1
Köln
KOL
59%
23%
19%
74 83 9 0
22 Nov. 2008
KOL
Köln
1 - 3
Hoffenheim
HOF
43%
25%
32%
75 77 2 -1
16 Nov. 2008
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Köln
KOL
74%
16%
11%
75 88 13 0

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2009
WOL
Wolfsburg
5 - 1
Hansa Rostock
ROS
73%
17%
10%
85 69 16 0
17 Dec. 2008
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
WOL
69%
18%
13%
85 90 5 0
13 Dec. 2008
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
62%
20%
18%
85 88 3 0
07 Dec. 2008
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
56%
23%
21%
85 80 5 0
04 Dec. 2008
WOL
Wolfsburg
3 - 2
Portsmouth
OPA
42%
27%
31%
84 87 3 +1