Köln vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
2 - 4
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
KOL
2 - 0
LEV
18%
21%
62%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
KOL
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 1
AUG
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
RBL
4 - 1
KOL
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 5
M05
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BYM
6 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
WOL
2 - 3
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 2
S04
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |