Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
56%
21%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
BOC
1 - 0
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
KOL
4 - 0
F95
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
ROT
2 - 3
KOL
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
KOL
2 - 5
BYM
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
S04
1 - 1
OFC
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
F95
1 - 2
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
S04
5 - 1
KFC
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
S04
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
BOC
1 - 4
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |