Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
KOL
4 - 0
ATL
12%
19%
68%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
SIE
0 - 7
KOL
6%
15%
80%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
3 - 1
LEI
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KÖL
2 - 2
KOL
14%
19%
68%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BER
1 - 7
KOL
6%
15%
79%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 2
OSA
54%
23%
24%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 3
SGD
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
ALT
0 - 3
SCF
11%
19%
70%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 1
SVS
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCF
1 - 3
EIN
37%
24%
39%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | -1 |