2. Bundesliga . Jor. 34

Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis

Köln MSV Duisburg
77 ELO 72
7.1% Tilt 8.3%
193º General ELO ranking 2457º
14º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
58.6%
Köln
22.7%
Draw
18.7%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
Köln
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-6%
-3%
MSV Duisburg

ELO progression

Köln
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2005
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
17%
24%
60%
76 56 20 0
06 May. 2005
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
Eintracht Trier
EIN
70%
19%
12%
76 63 13 0
02 May. 2005
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
33%
26%
41%
76 69 7 0
25 Apr. 2005
KOL
Köln
1 - 0
Unterhaching
UNT
67%
20%
14%
76 66 10 0
17 Apr. 2005
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
31%
25%
44%
76 65 11 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2005
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 4
Karlsruher SC
KSC
64%
21%
15%
74 63 11 0
09 May. 2005
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
57%
24%
20%
73 76 3 +1
01 May. 2005
MSV
MSV Duisburg
4 - 3
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
55%
24%
21%
73 68 5 0
24 Apr. 2005
COT
Energie Cottbus
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
40%
26%
33%
73 69 4 0
18 Apr. 2005
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
0 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
49%
25%
27%
73 73 0 0
X