Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HAN
1 - 4
KOL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
M05
1 - 0
KOL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 1
BYM
12%
19%
68%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEV
0 - 0
KOL
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
BVB
26%
25%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
WOL
1 - 5
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
FCN
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HSV
1 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
HOF
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |