Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1998 |
KÖL
4 - 2
KOL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
KOL
2 - 1
ROT
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1998 |
COT
2 - 3
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1998 |
KOL
1 - 4
STP
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
HAN
6 - 1
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
F95
2 - 2
ARB
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
KSC
3 - 1
F95
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1998 |
F95
2 - 1
MUN
27%
24%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
F95
1 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
SGF
1 - 0
F95
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |