Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
M05
0 - 0
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
KOL
3 - 0
KÖL
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
OFC
0 - 1
KOL
15%
22%
63%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
KOL
2 - 1
EIN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
KOL
3 - 0
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 2
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
AAA
3 - 1
FCN
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
FCN
4 - 3
KSC
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
FCN
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |